[New] A quantum computer cyberattack on the Federal Reserve's Fedwire Funds Service - its interbank payment system - could trigger a financial collapse and result in a six-month economic recession.
CNN
[New] If inflation were to re-accelerate, perhaps due to surging oil prices or unexpected supply shocks, the Fed might be forced to maintain its restrictive stance, or even hike again, which would significantly tighten financial conditions and increase recession risk.
Kavout
[New] Deep domestic political polarization, fears of economic recession, inflationary pressures, weak public support for another distant war, and the possibility of insufficient allied cooperation could prevent the United States from effectively defending Taiwan at a critical moment.
E-International Relations
[New] Rainy day funds are thinning just as federal policy changes and diminished federal revenue sharing are driving up states' administrative costs, and as the U.S. contends with an elevated risk of recession.
Vertex, Inc.
[New] Europe could tip into recession if the Iran war and Hormuz closure persist.
The Rio Times
[New] A further escalation of the US-Israel war with Iran could trigger a worldwide recession.
The Guardian
[New] Ifo president Clemens Fuest warns of a recession in Germany in 2026 if the U.S. tariffs escalate into a full-scale trade war.
AEQUIFIN
[New] Prolonged disruptions could lead to a broader global slowdown, with recession risks increasing if conditions worsen.
STL.News
[New] A global recession scenario could reduce non-compliance platform investment by 25% -35% in an 18-24 month window.
evolvancemarketresearch.com
[New] The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has rippled through global energy markets, threatening recession-level disruptions to economies from Germany to Japan to South Korea.
KBA13 INSIGHT
[New] A European economic recession and higher government borrowing rates will make it difficult for Europe's highly indebted countries like France, Italy, and the United Kingdom to grow their way out from under their debt mountains.
American Enterprise Institute - AEI
[New] The biggest single risk to the global outlook is a U.S. recession, which Deverell believes would most likely be triggered by a peaking and subsequent pullback in tech investment.
ROGER MONTGOMERY
[New] Stocks are likely to witness major correction by the end of 2026 even as the U.S. economy could slip into a recession.
Economic Times
[New] Britain is to flirt with recession and unemployment will be sent soaring amid the fallout of the Iran war.
LBC
[New] Headwinds from the energy price shock, U.S. tariffs, trade policy uncertainty and a shrinking population will likely keep recession risks elevated.
MarketsFarm
[New] The sharp rise in oil prices has raised the risk of a global recession fuelled by the rising cost of fuels and industrial feedstocks.
The Guardian
[New] Britain is facing a £35bn economic hit and the risk of a recession in 2026 as the fallout from the Iran war adds to the pressure on Keir Starmer's government, a leading thinktank has warned.
The Guardian
[New] German growth in 2026 will be around 0.6%, or just 0.3% adjusted for working days, and warns that prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz raises recession risks.
Insights
[New] A U.S. recession in 2026 would reduce Canadian export demand and could suppress core inflation even as tariff-driven goods prices rise.
Lines.com
[New] Europe will likely fall into recession if the Iran war persists through the first half of 2026 and disruptions to energy supplies are more extensive.
CNN
[New] Spiralling energy costs and disruption to supply chains will push the UK to the brink of a technical recession in the middle of 2026.
The Guardian
[New] A quarter of a million people could lose their jobs by the middle of 2027 as Britain flirts with recession, analysis suggests, after business confidence was shattered by the US-Israel war on Iran.
The Guardian
Last updated: 20 May 2026
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