[New] Any further escalation in the Iran war could trigger a global recession, and the International Monetary Fund has said the UK economy is expected to be more affected than any of the other G7 nations.
The Guardian
[New] The UK economy will flatline across the second and third quarters of this year, placing it on the brink of a technical recession, defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction.
World Socialist Web Site
[New] The number of business executives who expect a recession by the end of 2026 decreased heavily from 52% to 36%.
CPA Practice Advisor
[New] In the mild recession scenario, total real estate sales are lower by $1.30 billion in FY 2025, $10.86 billion in FY 2026, $6.26 billion in FY 2027, $2.88 billion in FY 2028 and $3.25 billion in FY 2029.
Office of the New York City Comptroller Mark Levine
[New] While many economists are raising the odds of a recession in 2027 due to rising oil prices, the Federal Reserve has opted to hold interest rates steady - which is good news for investors.
Yahoo Finance
[New] There's a material risk that Canada's housing slump could persist for longer and lead to a deeper correction in prices.
BNN Bloomberg
[New] The military conflict in the Middle East, heightened risk of a global recession, renewed inflationary pressures and rising interest rates domestically have created a highly challenging operating environment.
Australian Financial Review
[New] Industrial silver demand softens in a recession, and recession risk is rising - Goldman Sachs, EY-Parthenon, and Moody's Analytics now put US recession probability between 30% and 49%.
FXStreet
[New] The UK is stuck in a stagflation scenario and risks of a recession are rising fast.
The Guardian
[New] The global economy is at risk of recession if the Iran conflict persists.
BeverageDaily.com
[New] The International Monetary Fund has warned the US-Israel war on Iran risks creating an energy crisis of an unprecedented scale that could tip the global economy towards recession.
The Guardian
[New] Analysts at Goldman Sachs bumped up the probability of a U.S. recession in the coming 12 months to 30%, stressing that they, too, still expect two rate cuts because they see unemployment moving higher than the Fed's own projections.
Guardian Capital
[New] A US recession in 2026 is not guaranteed, but the risk is clearly rising based on current economic signals like high oil prices and policy uncertainty.
Economic Times
If the Middle East crisis is resolved by the end of April, the global economy will most likely skirt recession.
MMA Group at LPL Financial
Economists have warned that, should oil prices top $150 per barrel, the UK economy would plunge into a recession.
City AM
Gulf economies could slip into recession in 2026, shrinking by 2% to 5%, with Qatar and Kuwait being the most vulnerable due to their dependence on the Strait of Hormuz.
Global Finance Magazine
The blockage of the Strait of Hormuz has left the world facing another energy crisis and warning bells of a global recession are growing increasingly shrill.
Top1000Funds.com
The OECD's core conclusion for the UK is captured in its March report: growth of 0.5% in 2026, inflation of 4%, and a warning that energy-intensive economies face high risks of technical recession if the maritime blockade persists through the summer refill season.
US Recession News
Several key U.S. economic indicators continue to show more resilience than would typically be expected ahead of an imminent recession.
Prudent Investors
Last updated: 29 April 2026
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